Monday, December 15, 2025

The Trouble With OKRs

 Despite their popularity, OKRs frequently fail to deliver business results. What’s going on?


I grew up professionally in the ‘90’s on a steady diet of the Toyota Production System (TPS). Our compass through the churning, treacherous waters of continuous expansion & new model launches was business system called ‘Hoshin Kanri’ or Strategy Deployment. I’ve written about it extensively & have lived many annual strategy planning & execution cycles with many fine companies. As my practice has evolved towards disruptive Innovation and industries like Banking, Insurance & Tech, I’ve seen more & more OKRs.

Here are some common failure modes I’ve observed:

·     Company winning logic is unclear, and/or poorly communicated - (‘Huh…?’)       

·       Rigid top-down directives with little validation from ‘subordinate’ levels – (‘Here’s another dumb thing they want us to do…’)

·       Teams create objectives disconnected from company ‘winning logic’ – (‘Let’s just do what we’ve always done…’)
·       Key results are disconnected from business outcomes – (‘What is ‘value’, anyhow?’)
·       Departments set goals in silos, few shared measures of success – (‘Let’s just focus on our corner’)
·       Objectives are either too abstract to guide action or too specific to inspire innovation – (‘Looks like AI wrote these things…’)
·       OKRs are invisible, hindering alignment - (‘Can anybody tell me what we’re trying to achieve?’)
·       Organizations try to do too much at once, diluting focus and impact – (‘Keep pressing buttons, something’s bound to happen.’)

The root causes of these failures include the absence of a) a comprehensive system (‘everything is connected to everything else’), and b) a set of mental models (‘how we think determines what we see’). OKRs are also prone to AI-sloppification & all the attendant waste & hassle.

Let me illustrate with the simple image above. Strategy development & deployment continuously cycles between the World of Thought & the World of Experience. Leaders live in the former, Team Members in the latter. Validating a proposed objective and winning logic entails multiple rounds of what I learned as ‘Catchball’ – essentially a series of meetings during which team members challenge, massage, tweak and ultimately validate the Leader’s objective and winning logic. Catchball continues at the front-line level where Team Leaders validate their team’s objectives and winning logic. Catchball concludes with a shared understanding of what we’re trying to achieve, what metrics represent Value, and what critical few activities each team will focus on.

Catchball is a messy, intensely human process & only sticks if a) your management system continually nudges people in the right direction, and b) your core mental models support it.  The key underlying question is ‘What do you think?’ – a simple question and the tip of a proverbial iceberg. Here are some of the underlying mental models:

  • I know I’m prone to inherent cognitive biases – (illustrated in the work of Kahneman & Tversky and others).
  • I accept that I am out of touch with what’s actually happening at the front line. Engaging team members is my reality check
  • The senior team & I are prone to groupthink. That’s why we build management walks into our routines.
  • Often team members understand the problem much better than I do.
  • A strategic plan is worthless unless team members accept it.
  • Our team members are really smart. Give them a challenge & they do incredible things.

Here’s you challenge: the only way to internalize all this is to experience it, which materially changes you. Talk is cheap, and AI slop is worth less than zero.

Best wishes,

Pascal Dennis         E: pascal.dennis@leansystems.org

 


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